Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.520737 0.596626 0.678911 0.774655 0.882893 1.001353 1.140718
2025-03-02 0.398356 0.499654 0.618836 0.768973 0.952597 1.169380 1.444203
2025-03-09 0.318300 0.434100 0.580958 0.779813 1.040859 1.370536 1.816940
2025-03-16 0.251932 0.371789 0.534853 0.770952 1.101706 1.545836 2.184041
2025-03-23 0.210442 0.334045 0.513413 0.789456 1.199534 1.781227 2.662400
2025-03-30 0.171636 0.292067 0.477861 0.780689 1.255864 1.965003 3.092639
2025-04-06 0.145722 0.264527 0.458478 0.791697 1.341270 2.199950 3.626192
2025-04-13 0.119544 0.231117 0.423525 0.771287 1.372813 2.354506 4.053527
2025-04-20 0.106005 0.216972 0.418023 0.798278 1.484446 2.648205 4.736469
2025-04-27 0.095404 0.206072 0.416102 0.830531 1.608323 2.975155 5.510613
2025-05-04 0.083847 0.190949 0.403644 0.840986 1.693552 3.243836 6.212495
2025-05-11 0.073004 0.175079 0.386938 0.840284 1.756942 3.479164 6.878566
2025-05-18 0.063661 0.160825 0.371606 0.840918 1.824835 3.733963 7.616101
2025-05-25 0.055394 0.147314 0.355571 0.837615 1.884420 3.979888 8.364888
2025-06-01 0.049552 0.138358 0.347982 0.851214 1.980565 4.307805 9.308983
2025-06-08 0.043107 0.126493 0.331692 0.842785 2.028327 4.543298 10.093039
2025-06-15 0.039246 0.120544 0.328375 0.863681 2.143148 4.929401 11.226082
2025-06-22 0.034338 0.110627 0.313537 0.854648 2.188565 5.172580 12.082723
2025-06-29 0.031070 0.104658 0.307728 0.866956 2.285304 5.537441 13.238344
2025-07-06 0.026812 0.094722 0.289621 0.844946 2.296306 5.711560 13.989969
2025-07-13 0.025013 0.092051 0.290990 0.874472 2.438630 6.200635 15.500430
2025-07-20 0.023556 0.090162 0.294266 0.909681 2.599794 6.749903 17.201584
2025-07-27 0.021488 0.085723 0.289301 0.921123 2.700502 7.164835 18.626252